Just 88 days into the US elections and Professor Allan Lichten predicted a Biden win. He has been doing this since 1984 without failing including Trump’s win four years ago. How does he do this? Who is Professor Allan Lichten?
Allan Jay Lichtman was born in April 4, 1947 in Brownsville, He is an American historian. Lichtman was born in Brownsville Brooklyn in New York City. He graduated from Stuyvesant High School. Lichtman received his B.A. degree from Brandeis University in history in 1967. Lichtman received his Ph.D. from Harvard University as a Graduate Prize Fellow, also in history.
His prediction for the 2020 election is on point as he accurately predicted that Joe Biden would win.
“Donald Trump will become the first sitting president since Bill Clinton beat George H.W. Bush in 1992 to lose in a reelection bid,” Lichtman predicted on Sept. 22.
Lichtman uses a method he calls the “13 Keys to the White House,” which he has used to correctly call each presidential election since 1984.
Lichtman said the Keys to the White House work in “geophysical earthquake terms.” When there is “stability, the party holding the White House keeps the White House,” and when there is an “earthquake, the party holding the White House loses.”
He explained that each key represents a category on which the candidates are assessed, and when six or more keys go against an incumbent candidate, the rival is favored to win.
The system was created during a chance encounter with Vladimir Kellis-Brook, (who heads the Institute of Pattern Recognition and Earthquake Prediction in Moscow) at the California Institute of Technology in 1981.
The two came up with a revolutionary idea to try predicting political outcomes with earthquake prediction theories. The system has correctly called the past nine presidential elections.
The keys themselves range from an assessment of the country’s overall economic welfare and policy changes, to social perception of the current president and the country itself.
Lichtman said he ensures not to involve his personal political views into the process but concentrates on the theoretical method of the keys.
Referring to Trump and Biden election he said, “As of late 2019, less than a year to go before the election, President Donald Trump was down only four keys,” he said. “That’s two key short of predicting his defeat. But then, as we know, everything changed in America in 2020…We were hit with the worst pandemic in 100 years, by far, one that’s still going on,” as well as continued “cries for social and racial justice.”